Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.376390 0.439727 0.510734 0.596301 0.696713 0.810926 0.950867
2024-12-22 0.276979 0.359421 0.462232 0.600165 0.780883 1.010305 1.324818
2024-12-29 0.227863 0.317578 0.437879 0.611611 0.857200 1.193631 1.692422
2025-01-05 0.187951 0.277453 0.404701 0.599763 0.893075 1.320634 1.996596
2025-01-12 0.160211 0.248497 0.380510 0.593597 0.931658 1.451831 2.321733
2025-01-19 0.140970 0.228525 0.365482 0.597024 0.982508 1.605296 2.701132
2025-01-26 0.131001 0.221203 0.368307 0.627917 1.079950 1.844222 3.254521
2025-02-02 0.122031 0.213955 0.369746 0.655841 1.175153 2.091108 3.858024
2025-02-09 0.112787 0.204760 0.366302 0.674141 1.255025 2.320881 4.464307
2025-02-16 0.103120 0.193386 0.357297 0.680636 1.313341 2.518143 5.037712
2025-02-23 0.093430 0.180620 0.343962 0.676816 1.350792 2.679853 5.564075
2025-03-02 0.083109 0.165287 0.323789 0.656748 1.352898 2.771513 5.959247
2025-03-09 0.078540 0.160896 0.324656 0.679795 1.447731 3.067639 6.843932
2025-03-16 0.072344 0.152439 0.316395 0.682935 1.501446 3.286129 7.595975
2025-03-23 0.067790 0.146789 0.313104 0.696047 1.578336 3.565027 8.530689
2025-03-30 0.061468 0.136513 0.298689 0.682510 1.593019 3.705950 9.160359
2025-04-06 0.056379 0.128327 0.287804 0.675466 1.621612 3.882728 9.906790
2025-04-13 0.052628 0.122708 0.281959 0.679381 1.676879 4.130793 10.875525
2025-04-20 0.051322 0.122620 0.288783 0.714677 1.814533 4.601365 12.509037
2025-04-27 0.049825 0.121882 0.293964 0.746587 1.948214 5.081536 14.252344
2025-05-04 0.047748 0.119467 0.294786 0.767502 2.056215 5.510623 15.927833
2025-05-11 0.045087 0.115257 0.290656 0.774926 2.129072 5.856091 17.422398
2025-05-18 0.042052 0.109727 0.282526 0.770560 2.168822 6.116116 18.708460